Monday, April 28, 2008

Six month forecast for the Middle East

Here is my grim forecast for the Middle East in the next 6 months. October 2008, the United States will come to the conclusion that the Iranians are on the verge of obtaining a nuclear capacity and rightly assume that the self proclaimed 12th Imam(Mahmoud Ahmadinejad) will attack Israel.

After a massive US naval buildup, the Iranians will instruct their proxy terrorists (Hezbollah) to attack Israel through Lebanon and open a new front. Hamas will try their best to take advantage of the situation and breach the border with Israel along with massive rocket fire from the Gaza Strip.

The United States will conduct naval and aerial assaults upon Iran’s military, petroleum and nuclear infrastructure. Only small teams of American Special Forces will penetrate Iran along with a massive aerial assault that will destroy about 65% of Iran’s nuclear infrastructure. Iran’s navy will be nearly destroyed and about a 75% reduction in their air force.

The United States will take some naval loses due to Iran’s advanced torpedoes and silkworm missiles. Iran will retaliate with massive missile strikes on Israel, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, U.A.E. and American bases in Iraq and Afghanistan. Israel will take heavy civilian loses due to Iranian missiles; however, they will take the Gaza Strip and destroy the Hamas leadership.

Israel will take heavy IDF loses in advancing to the Bekka Valley, Lebanon, while destroying about 75% of the Hezbollah terrorists. Israel obtains artillery superiority with the occupation of the Bekka valley, suppressing a Syrian response.

At this time, oil will reach over $200 a barrel and the U.N. will be buzzing with resolutions calling for a cease fire. Nuclear weapons will not be used on cities unless Iran uses chemical-biological weapons, dirty bombs or invades Iraq with massive forces reminiscent of the Iraq-Iran war of the 1980’s.

The United States will probably use some sort of nuclear bunker-busting bombs to reach the under-ground nuclear facilities to some degree of success. Their will be some radiation fallout with the destruction of the Iranian nuclear facilities that will mimic the Chernobyl fallout of the 1980’s. I will leave the rest to Nostradamus.

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