Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Will Iran sabotage Palestinian-Israeli peace talks?

With the start of Palestinian-Israeli peace talks in Washington I predict we will see a Hezbollah attack on Israel’s northern border within a week. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (Quds Force) controls the Hezbollah terrorists in Lebanon and will do all they can to sabotage any agreement between the Fatah controlled Palestinian Authority and Israel.

While most would agree that these talks are doomed to failure without any help from outside forces, the Iranians can take no chance of any semblance of success. If by some chance Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas succeed in the framework of a peace plan, enormous pressure from the international community will force both party’s to implement said plan.

The fact that the Arab league pushed Abbas into agreeing to direct talks with Israel says much about the Arab world mindset. The Arab nations (Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt) fear Iranian influence in the Middle East and they know Iran is using the Palestinian issue to further their cause. The so-called moderate Arab nations have turned their collective backs on Hamas and Hezbollah because they know these groups are Iranian proxies and are being used to expand Iranian influence in the Middle East.

Debkafile is reporting that the Iranian al Qods commander of Tehran's networks and surrogates in Iraq, the Gaza Strip and the Palestinian Authority has spent the last ten days in Damascus Syria planning new attacks on Israel. According to Debkafile, Hezbollah's direct commander on behalf of the IRGC, Hassan Mahdavi, is reported by Western intelligence sources as monitoring events in Lebanon. Mahdavi is reportedly leaning hard on Hezbollah's secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah to strike IDF forces within a few days in response to US sponsorship of direct Israeli-Palestinian talks.

The Iranians know Hamas can do little to damage any agreement between Israel and the PA because Hamas is still smarting from Operation Cast Lead. Minus an attack by the United States or Israel on Tehran’s nuclear infrastructure anytime soon, the only Iranian option is to use Hezbollah to create chaos. I will also predict that the UN will soft peddle any attack on Israel by Hezbollah and press Israel into another worthless agreement like 1701. Let’s hope I’m wrong!

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